Can Home Advantage Help in the 2027 Ashes⁠

Since 1882 there have been 74 completed Ashes series, The home side has won 39 of these which is 52.7%- so white not a massive difference, an advantage is certainly there for England in the 2027 Ashes.

Breakdown of Home vs. Away Wins

• Australia wins at home: 21 series

• England wins at home: 18 series

• Australia wins away (in England): 14 series

• England wins away (in Australia): 14 series

England Home Advantage in Recent History

Since 2009 there have been five Ashes series held in England. Three have been won by England and two have ended in 2-2 draws (with Australia retaining the URN in these two).

Year - Winner - Test Correct Score

2023 - Drawn - 2-2

2019 - Drawn 2-2

2015 - England - 3-2

2013 - England - 3-0

200 - England - 2-1

So how does the home team get an advantage?

The climate for cricket in England is more humid than in Australia, with grounds possessing greener wickets that assist seam and swing bowling. England bowlers are far more used to such conditions and do not require adapting their bowling. Australian wickets tend to be harder and more bouncy, meaning their batsmen are far more used to high pace bowling and short pitched deliveries - whereas in England they are more likely to face bowlers aiming for a fuller length (to assist with seam swing bowling).

The home support in both nations both play a part in the series - with large and loud crowds creating a hostile or supportive environment for the players.

Home teams are obviously also more acclimated to the local weather. From the heat of Australia to the wetter English summers can take its toll on the visiting players, especially when they are not used to the stop-start pace of far more matches in England.

The Bookmakers VIew

Rarely are the bookmakers wrong when it comes to Ashes cricket betting, so it’s well worth taking a look to see if their view corresponds with the historical records. England are seen to be the odds-on favourites at around 4/5, the draw is around 13/2, while Australia are the outsiders at 6/4. History and conditions support England in their bid to regain the ashes.